If the remaining Republican candidates for President
are really focused on stopping Donald Trump, then Marco Rubio and John Kasich
should now take the following three steps: 1--pledge to release their delegates
after the first ballot at the GOP's national convention 2--select an arbitrator
to lead the discussion of proposing a compromise candidate at the convention.
Mitt Romney would be a reasonable choice for this role. 3-- divide the
remaining state primaries between them, so that anti-Trump voters could be
confident that their votes would help to reach this goal instead of canceling
out.
Absent this, the GOP seems about to split
in half. Tensions within the party used to look like a cluster of different
perspectives, but now it seems more like two irreconcilable sides. On one side
are the business-friendly folks who want international trade agreements,
deregulation, cuts to corporate and capital gains taxes, immigration reform,
criminal sentencing reform, deficit reduction, military preparedness and an interventionist
defense policy. The other side is nativist and populist, and supports a
protectionist trade policy, deportation of undocumented immigrants, cuts to
social programs that benefit racial minorities, strict criminal sentencing, a
foreign policy of isolationism punctuated by massive retaliation against enemy
threats, and is hostile to all federal attempts to regulate money and trade.
The GOP has
absorbed conservative white working class voters from throughout the US (not
just the South), starting in the 1960s, when the Democratic Party embraced
integration and affirmative action to redress racial inequality. Each
subsequent Republican presidential aspirant has courted these voters, while
also protecting corporate interests. But in the last eight years, the
anti-government rhetoric among Republican officeholders and advocates has
become so extreme that it is no longer possible to reconcile the two agendas.
Senators Cruz and Rubio have tried to do this and largely failed to convince
voters that they can be trusted. Donald Trump discovered that he could drive a
wedge between angry voters and the party establishment, re-channeling Tea Party
fervor to form an independent movement. There is more opposition than agreement
between these two factions. I don't see how the GOP can continue to contain
them both.
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